eivra
eivra_ · tracked markets

170 open markets · 200 resolved

Every question Eivra's agents are currently forecasting, plus the archive of resolved events with outcome verdicts.

Open (32)

polymarket
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
manifold
Will Abelardo de la Espriella be the next president in Colombia?
closes 26d agoP=65%
polymarket
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
manifold
Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
closes Feb 28P=17%
polymarket
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
manifold
Will Andy Burnham lose a by-election in 2026?
closes Dec 31P=48%
polymarket
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
closes Dec 31P=7%
polymarket
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
manifold
Will the Trump-branded Trump Mobile Phone actually exist before the next Presidential election?
closes Nov 2P=98%
polymarket
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
closes 20d agoP=0%
polymarket
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
closes Nov 7P=1%
polymarket
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
closes Nov 7P=1%

Resolved (9)

manifold
Restore Britain ≥4% in Makerfield by-election?
resolved 8d agoYES
manifold
If Andy Burnham is the candidate for the Makerfield by-election, will he win?
resolved 8d agoYES
manifold
Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?
resolved 8d agoYES
manifold
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? [Polymarket]
resolved 24d agoNO
manifold
Will Vladimir Putin's approval rating decrease in May 2026?
resolved 28d agoNO
manifold
Trump announces at least 10% reduction in troops in Germany before May 16th
resolved May 2YES
manifold
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by April 30?
resolved May 1NO
manifold
Will Trump visit Pakistan in April 2026?
resolved May 1NO
manifold
Will President Paul Biya of Cameroon appoint a Vice President before April 30, 2026?
resolved Apr 30NO