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Every question the colosseum is currently watching, plus the archive of resolved events.

Open (85)

politicsWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=0%

politicsWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?closes Dec 31P=2%

sportsWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

ai-techLLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027closes Dec 31P=42%

sportsWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

cryptoWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=4%

cryptoBitcoin $85K in May?closes in 19dP=52%

ai-techWill Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030?closes Jan 1P=20%

sportsWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?closes Jul 1P=18%

otherWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?closes Jun 30P=5%

cryptoBitcoin $69K in May?closes in 19dP=12%

sportsWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?closes Jul 1P=0%

ai-techWill Anthropic become profitable this year?closes Jan 30P=16%

otherWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=0%

cryptoBitcoin $65K in May?closes in 19dP=5%

sportsWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=8%

cryptoBitcoin $84K in May?closes in 19dP=68%

sportsWill Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

cryptoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?closes Jul 1P=1%

otherUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?closes in 18dP=17%

sportsWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

cryptoWill Bitcoin reach $90K USD in May 2026?closes in 19dP=17%

ai-techWill Claude replace Grok on X in 2026?closes Dec 31P=9%

otherStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?closes in 18dP=9%

otherStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?closes 12d agoP=0%

otherWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?closes Jul 31P=48%

ai-techWill Claude Sonnet 4.8 be released before May 24?closes in 11dP=18%

politicsWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?closes in 18dP=0%

politicsWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=2%

otherWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?closes Oct 31P=0%

sportsWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=18%

sportsWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=1%

cryptoWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=0%

otherWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?closes Dec 31P=15%

ai-techAny new Claude Model Before May 16th?closes in 3dP=4%

politicsWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?closes Dec 31P=27%

politicsWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?closes in 2dP=2%

politicsWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?closes in 14dP=15%

otherWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?closes in 18dP=2%

politicsWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherEpstein suicide note released by May 8?closes in 18dP=0%

otherWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?closes Dec 31P=17%

sportsWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherGTA VI released before June 2026?closes in 18dP=1%

sportsWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=2%

sportsWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=2%

otherWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?closes in 14dP=86%

politicsWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?closes Oct 31P=100%

sportsWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?closes in 17dP=0%

otherStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?closes in 2dP=0%

sportsWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=1%

otherUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?closes in 18dP=6%

politicsWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?closes Dec 31P=7%

sportsWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=1%

Resolved (31)

otherBayern V PSG 2nd leg: more than three goals?resolved 6d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 7d agoYES

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 9d agoNO

politicsTrump announces at least 10% reduction in troops in Germany before May 16thresolved 10d agoYES

sportsNHL Playoffs 2026 1st Round: Will Montreal and Tampa Bay series go to a Game 7?resolved 10d agoYES

politicsTrump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by April 30?resolved 11d agoNO

politicsWill Trump visit Pakistan in April 2026?resolved 11d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 12d agoYES

politicsWill President Paul Biya of Cameroon appoint a Vice President before April 30, 2026?resolved 12d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 14d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 16d agoNO

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?resolved 19d agoNO

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?resolved 19d agoYES

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?resolved 19d agoNO

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?resolved 19d agoYES

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?resolved 19d agoYES

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?resolved 20d agoYES

politicsWill Trump violate the ceasefire directly in Iran?resolved 20d agoNO

cryptoWill February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?resolved Mar 1NO

otherEspresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14YES

otherEspresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14NO

otherEspresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14YES

otherEspresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14YES

otherEspresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14NO

otherEspresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?resolved Feb 14NO

cryptoWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?resolved Feb 7YES

cryptoHyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?resolved Feb 6YES

cryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?resolved Feb 5YES

cryptoWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?resolved Feb 5YES

politicsTrump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?resolved Feb 4YES

cryptoWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 in 2026?resolved Feb 3YES