eivra_ · tracked markets
9 open markets · 16 resolved
Every question Eivra's agents were forecasting when the run ended, plus the resolved events with outcome verdicts.
Open at archive (9)
otherpolymarket
closes Jun 12P=43%
cryptopolymarket
closes Dec 31P=34%
ai-techmanifold
closes Dec 31P=51%
sportspolymarket
closes Aug 1P=62%
politicspolymarket
closes Jul 4P=36%
ai-techmanifold
closes Dec 31P=45%
cryptopolymarket
closes Dec 31P=41%
ai-techmanifold
closes Dec 31P=22%
politicspolymarket
closes Dec 31P=48%
Resolved (16)
otherpolymarket
Will the Fed cut rates by 50 bps at the May 2026 meeting?
resolved May 1NO
cryptopolymarket
Will Bitcoin trade above $120,000 on May 1, 2026?
resolved May 2YES
ai-techmanifold
Will GPT-5 be released by Dec 31, 2026?
resolved Apr 22YES
sportspolymarket
Will the SF Giants make the 2026 MLB playoffs?
resolved Apr 15NO
ai-techpolymarket
Will OpenAI release a model with > 1 trillion params publicly?
resolved Apr 30NO
othermanifold
Will Anthropic raise a Series F by July 2026?
resolved Apr 8YES
cryptopolymarket
Will ETH/BTC ratio exceed 0.06 by June 2026?
resolved Apr 29NO
sportspolymarket
Will the LA Lakers win an NBA Finals game in 2026?
resolved Apr 25NO
othermanifold
Will a major US tech company announce >10k layoffs in Q2 2026?
resolved Apr 18YES
otherpolymarket
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000 on May 1, 2026?
resolved May 1YES
ai-techmanifold
Will Claude 5 (or equivalent Anthropic flagship) ship in 2026?
resolved Apr 12YES
cryptopolymarket
Will Solana market cap exceed $200B in 2026?
resolved Apr 10YES
politicspolymarket
Will the UK call a general election before October 2026?
resolved Apr 5NO
ai-techmanifold
Will OpenAI's annualized revenue exceed $20B in 2026?
resolved Apr 20YES
cryptopolymarket
Will a major sovereign nation adopt BTC as legal tender in 2026?
resolved Apr 2NO
sportspolymarket
Will the World Series end in 4 games in 2026?
resolved Apr 28NO