{"generated_at":"2026-06-27T06:18:30.298Z","verdict":"blocked","verdict_label":"Blocked","paper_only":true,"ready_for_capital_review":false,"real_money_execution_allowed":false,"exit_code":1,"loaded_env_files":[],"source":"live","controls":{"sample":"live_only","agent_id":null,"category":null,"side":null,"bankroll_usd":5000,"min_edge":0.1,"stake_mode":"kelly_capped","flat_stake_usd":25,"max_stake_usd":100,"max_open_exposure_usd":500},"proof_rules":{"requiredLiveDays":30,"requiredResolvedTrades":30,"minResolvedNetPnlUsd":1,"minRoiOnStake":0,"maxDrawdownUsd":500},"summary":{"live_strategy_count":15,"best_live_strategy_label":"Magpie live, edge >= 10pp","captured_days":30,"resolved_live_trades":9,"window_pnl_usd":151.21,"window_roi_on_stake":0.168,"open_live_signals":38,"overdue_live_signals":9,"review_required_live_signals":9,"tradable_open_live_signals":29,"tradable_open_expected_pnl_usd":1319.92,"review_required_open_expected_pnl_usd":373.36,"earliest_capital_review_at":"2026-06-27T05:12:32.359947+00:00"},"agent_edge_proof":{"status":"available","status_label":"Available","source":"supabase","source_label":"Supabase","guard_status":"collecting","guard_status_label":"Collecting","rule_count":12,"rules_with_profitability_proven":0,"rules_with_minimum_sample":0,"positive_unproven_rule_count":6,"unresolved_rule_count":2,"best_resolved_rule":{"strategy_id":"magpie-live-edge-10","strategy_label":"Magpie live, edge >= 10pp","agent_id":"magpie","agent_name":"Magpie","min_edge":0.1,"resolved_trades":9,"window_pnl_usd":151.21,"window_roi_on_stake":0.168,"max_drawdown_usd":202.31,"profitability_status":"positive_unproven","profitability_status_label":"Positive, unproven"},"capacity_leakage_status":"resolved_mixed","capacity_leakage_status_label":"Mixed missed resolves","capacity_leakage_missed_pnl_usd":2491.27,"missed_pnl_counts_as_proof":false},"readiness":{"status":"blocked","status_label":"Blocked","ready_for_capital_review":false,"real_money_execution_allowed":false,"paper_only":true,"next_required_action":"Investigate 9 live paper markets needing resolution review before trusting open EV.","passed_item_count":5,"collecting_item_count":6,"blocked_item_count":1,"unavailable_item_count":0,"blocked_item_ids":["resolution_hygiene"],"items":[{"id":"archive","label":"Persisted proof archive","status":"pass","status_label":"Pass","current":"available","target":"available","detail":"Stored snapshots must be readable before the lab can prove anything.","evidence":[]},{"id":"paper_only","label":"Paper-only lock","status":"pass","status_label":"Pass","current":"execution disabled","target":"execution disabled","detail":"The proof lab must never enable orders, wallets, leverage, or live capital.","evidence":[]},{"id":"capture_freshness","label":"Daily capture freshness","status":"pass","status_label":"Pass","current":"Fresh","target":"fresh","detail":"Latest persisted capture is within the daily freshness window.","evidence":[]},{"id":"registry_sync","label":"Strategy registry sync","status":"pass","status_label":"Pass","current":"15/15 live","target":"current live registry captured","detail":"Latest persisted proof day matches the current live strategy registry.","evidence":[]},{"id":"resolution_hygiene","label":"Resolution hygiene","status":"blocked","status_label":"Blocked","current":"9 needs review (9 overdue, 0 unknown close) / 38 open","target":"0 review-required live paper markets","detail":"Overdue or unknown-close open markets must be checked before treating open EV as credible.","evidence":[{"kind":"resolution_signal","prediction_id":"defbfc89-003c-4e1f-a23c-d9edd9221fe1","market_id":"abd1457d-e6e8-4691-ae5b-4dcf04908ebb","market_question":"This Market will Resolve at number of Traders%","market_source":"manifold","market_url":"https://manifold.markets/OnlySlides/this-market-will-resolve-at-number","market_status":"open","agent_id":"hawk","agent_name":"Hawk","side":"NO","stake_usd":100,"expected_pnl_usd":18.31,"market_closes_at":"2026-05-29T03:53:00+00:00","created_at":"2026-05-24T12:19:25.197698+00:00","close_status":"overdue","days_until_close":-29.1,"age_days":33.75},{"kind":"resolution_signal","prediction_id":"23cff3a7-c48a-4855-a3e2-09b2e5328b26","market_id":"cfba8d90-b574-41b4-9c23-c49bb56f0441","market_question":"Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses this week, according to pro-Ukraine mappers?","market_source":"manifold","market_url":"https://manifold.markets/a_l_e_x/will-ukraine-gain-more-territory-th-Q2PqZLlyUQ","market_status":"open","agent_id":"sage","agent_name":"Sage","side":"NO","stake_usd":100,"expected_pnl_usd":13.63,"market_closes_at":"2026-05-31T09:59:00+00:00","created_at":"2026-05-30T00:19:19.394763+00:00","close_status":"overdue","days_until_close":-26.85,"age_days":28.25},{"kind":"resolution_signal","prediction_id":"48799f3e-5740-430e-a91b-cd041f1e5b3e","market_id":"cfba8d90-b574-41b4-9c23-c49bb56f0441","market_question":"Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses this week, according to pro-Ukraine mappers?","market_source":"manifold","market_url":"https://manifold.markets/a_l_e_x/will-ukraine-gain-more-territory-th-Q2PqZLlyUQ","market_status":"open","agent_id":"hawk","agent_name":"Hawk","side":"NO","stake_usd":100,"expected_pnl_usd":31.81,"market_closes_at":"2026-05-31T09:59:00+00:00","created_at":"2026-05-30T00:19:31.71056+00:00","close_status":"overdue","days_until_close":-26.85,"age_days":28.25},{"kind":"resolution_signal","prediction_id":"ecace52f-3dc8-47fc-9467-ced04e533e30","market_id":"cfba8d90-b574-41b4-9c23-c49bb56f0441","market_question":"Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses this week, according to pro-Ukraine mappers?","market_source":"manifold","market_url":"https://manifold.markets/a_l_e_x/will-ukraine-gain-more-territory-th-Q2PqZLlyUQ","market_status":"open","agent_id":"magpie","agent_name":"Magpie","side":"NO","stake_usd":100,"expected_pnl_usd":63.63,"market_closes_at":"2026-05-31T09:59:00+00:00","created_at":"2026-05-30T00:19:42.79294+00:00","close_status":"overdue","days_until_close":-26.85,"age_days":28.25},{"kind":"resolution_signal","prediction_id":"5b09feb8-0cd0-4dee-a236-53a50d6ea03f","market_id":"cfba8d90-b574-41b4-9c23-c49bb56f0441","market_question":"Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses this week, according to pro-Ukraine mappers?","market_source":"manifold","market_url":"https://manifold.markets/a_l_e_x/will-ukraine-gain-more-territory-th-Q2PqZLlyUQ","market_status":"open","agent_id":"mirror","agent_name":"Mirror","side":"NO","stake_usd":100,"expected_pnl_usd":54.54,"market_closes_at":"2026-05-31T09:59:00+00:00","created_at":"2026-05-30T00:20:24.466456+00:00","close_status":"overdue","days_until_close":-26.85,"age_days":28.25}]},{"id":"capture_window","label":"30-day capture window","status":"pass","status_label":"Pass","current":"30/30 complete days","target":"30 complete days, 0 missing","detail":"0 missing, 0 partial.","evidence":[]},{"id":"resolved_trades","label":"Resolved live trades","status":"collecting","status_label":"Collecting","current":"9/30","target":"30 resolved live paper trades","detail":"Best live rollup: Magpie live, edge >= 10pp.","evidence":[]},{"id":"window_pnl","label":"Positive window P&L","status":"collecting","status_label":"Collecting","current":"$151.21","target":">= $1.00","detail":"Waiting for enough captured days and resolved trades.","evidence":[]},{"id":"window_roi","label":"Positive window ROI","status":"collecting","status_label":"Collecting","current":"16.8%","target":"> 0.0%","detail":"ROI is not judged until the proof window is complete.","evidence":[]},{"id":"drawdown","label":"Drawdown limit","status":"collecting","status_label":"Collecting","current":"tracked in rollups","target":"<= $500","detail":"Drawdown is not final until the proof window is complete.","evidence":[]},{"id":"liquidity_slippage","label":"Liquidity/slippage evidence","status":"collecting","status_label":"Collecting","current":"not persisted","target":"source-level spread, depth, fees, fill size, and slippage-adjusted entry","detail":"This becomes a hard blocker before any profitable paper candidate can move to operator capital review.","evidence":[]},{"id":"capital_review","label":"Capital review boundary","status":"collecting","status_label":"Collecting","current":"Blocked","target":"reviewable candidate, execution still disabled","detail":"21 more resolved live trades needed.","evidence":[]}]},"runway":{"status":"blocked","status_label":"Blocked","paper_only":true,"real_money_execution_allowed":false,"earliest_capital_review_at":"2026-06-27T05:12:32.359947+00:00","earliest_capital_review_date":"2026-06-27","days_until_earliest_review":0,"capture_days_remaining":0,"resolved_trades_remaining":21,"open_live_signals":38,"overdue_live_signals":9,"review_required_live_signals":9,"closing_next_7d_signals":14,"unknown_close_live_signals":0,"pending_resolution_capacity":38,"blocker_summary":"Investigate 9 live paper markets needing review before trusting open EV.","milestones":[{"id":"capture_window","label":"30-day capture runway","status":"reviewable","status_label":"Reviewable","current":"30/30 complete days","target":"30 complete days","eta_at":"2026-06-27T05:12:32.359947+00:00","detail":"Earliest date assumes the daily snapshot keeps landing on schedule."},{"id":"resolved_trades","label":"Resolved trade runway","status":"collecting","status_label":"Collecting","current":"9/30 resolved","target":"30 resolved live paper trades","eta_at":null,"detail":"38 open live paper tickets can become realized evidence when markets resolve."},{"id":"resolution_hygiene","label":"Resolution hygiene","status":"blocked","status_label":"Blocked","current":"9 needs review / 38 open","target":"0 review-required live paper markets","eta_at":"2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","detail":"Overdue or unknown-close markets must be investigated before their EV is treated as actionable."},{"id":"capital_review","label":"Capital review boundary","status":"blocked","status_label":"Blocked","current":"Blocked","target":"reviewable candidate, execution still disabled","eta_at":"2026-06-27T05:12:32.359947+00:00","detail":"21 more resolved live trades needed."}]},"failed_checks":["resolution_hygiene","resolved_live_trades","agent_edge_profitability","window_pnl","window_roi","drawdown","capital_review_boundary","readiness_contract"],"checks":[{"id":"paper_only_lock","label":"Paper-only lock","status":"pass","current":"execution disabled","target":"execution disabled everywhere","detail":"The audit must never pass if any surface allows real-money execution."},{"id":"live_data_source","label":"Live data source","status":"pass","current":"live","target":"live","detail":"Demo-sourced analytics cannot support capital review."},{"id":"persisted_archive","label":"Persisted proof archive","status":"pass","current":"available","target":"available","detail":"Persisted paper-trading snapshots loaded."},{"id":"capture_freshness","label":"Capture freshness","status":"pass","current":"Fresh","target":"fresh","detail":"Latest persisted capture is within the daily freshness window."},{"id":"registry_sync","label":"Strategy registry sync","status":"pass","current":"15/15 live","target":"current live registry captured","detail":"Latest persisted proof day matches the current live strategy registry."},{"id":"resolution_hygiene","label":"Resolution hygiene","status":"blocked","current":"9 needs review (9 overdue, 0 unknown close) / 38 open","target":"0 review-required live paper markets","detail":"Open EV is not realized profit; overdue or unknown-close markets must be resolved or investigated."},{"id":"capture_window","label":"30-day capture window","status":"pass","current":"30/30 complete days","target":"30 complete days, 0 missing","detail":"0 missing, 0 partial."},{"id":"resolved_live_trades","label":"Resolved live trades","status":"collecting","current":"9/30","target":"30 resolved live paper trades","detail":"Best live rollup: Magpie live, edge >= 10pp."},{"id":"agent_edge_profitability","label":"Agent-edge profitability","status":"collecting","current":"0/12 proven rules (6 positive thin, 2 unresolved)","target":">= 1 canonical rule clears 30 live days and 30 resolved tickets","detail":"Keep collecting until each positive rule also clears the 30-day and 30-resolved-ticket gates."},{"id":"window_pnl","label":"Positive window P&L","status":"collecting","current":"$151.21","target":">= $1.00","detail":"Judged only after enough captured days and resolved live trades exist."},{"id":"window_roi","label":"Positive window ROI","status":"collecting","current":"16.8%","target":"> 0.0%","detail":"Judged only after the proof window is complete."},{"id":"drawdown","label":"Drawdown limit","status":"collecting","current":"tracked in rollups","target":"<= $500.00","detail":"Drawdown blockers come from the durable proof gate."},{"id":"capital_review_boundary","label":"Capital review boundary","status":"collecting","current":"Blocked","target":"reviewable candidate, execution still disabled","detail":"Investigate 9 live paper markets needing resolution review before trusting open EV."},{"id":"readiness_contract","label":"Readiness contract","status":"blocked","current":"Blocked","target":"Ready for review","detail":"Investigate 9 live paper markets needing resolution review before trusting open EV."}],"description":"Read-only Eivra paper-trading proof audit. This endpoint never enables execution; it only reports whether durable paper evidence is ready for operator capital review."}